Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.000869 0.000986 0.001119 0.001279 0.001469 0.001688 0.001963
2025-05-11 0.000694 0.000849 0.001042 0.001301 0.001646 0.002099 0.002753
2025-05-18 0.000592 0.000766 0.000996 0.001333 0.001826 0.002544 0.003719
2025-05-25 0.000525 0.000708 0.000966 0.001369 0.002007 0.003028 0.004901
2025-06-01 0.000461 0.000643 0.000910 0.001349 0.002092 0.003378 0.005988
2025-06-08 0.000416 0.000598 0.000874 0.001352 0.002208 0.003804 0.007382
2025-06-15 0.000382 0.000562 0.000847 0.001360 0.002333 0.004279 0.009096
2025-06-22 0.000357 0.000538 0.000834 0.001388 0.002497 0.004882 0.011422
2025-06-29 0.000333 0.000512 0.000813 0.001400 0.002631 0.005460 0.014034
2025-07-06 0.000318 0.000500 0.000816 0.001454 0.002868 0.006362 0.018250
2025-07-13 0.000291 0.000464 0.000770 0.001404 0.002859 0.006639 0.020603
2025-07-20 0.000274 0.000443 0.000750 0.001403 0.002965 0.007273 0.024854
2025-07-27 0.000261 0.000430 0.000744 0.001438 0.003179 0.008347 0.032360
2025-08-03 0.000248 0.000416 0.000735 0.001464 0.003384 0.009518 0.042188
2025-08-10 0.000238 0.000405 0.000731 0.001501 0.003633 0.010995 0.056645
2025-08-17 0.000228 0.000396 0.000729 0.001543 0.003910 0.012764 0.077593
2025-08-24 0.000215 0.000376 0.000703 0.001521 0.003985 0.013777 0.095578
2025-08-31 0.000204 0.000362 0.000688 0.001523 0.004144 0.015285 0.124174
2025-09-07 0.000195 0.000350 0.000676 0.001533 0.004334 0.017108 0.165629
2025-09-14 0.000188 0.000343 0.000673 0.001566 0.004615 0.019681 0.235932
2025-09-21 0.000181 0.000333 0.000663 0.001579 0.004834 0.022141 0.328417
2025-09-28 0.000177 0.000330 0.000670 0.001643 0.005278 0.026560 0.535200
2025-10-05 0.000166 0.000312 0.000638 0.001584 0.005199 0.027296 0.638705